G6A6663 Lars

2023 was a good year for investments, and we are delighted to be able to offer all members high returns in 2023.

The negative return in 2022 has been more than offset by the positive performance in 2023. This is due both to the strong performance in 2023 and to the fact that LD Discretionary suffered smaller losses in 2022 compared with similar funds.

On this page, you can find a more detailed overview of the results for 2023 and our expectations for 2024.

Lars Mayland Nielsen
Director of LD Pensions
  • All portfolios generated positive returns in 2023

    In 2023, economic performance was far better than expected. This resulted in positive returns across all portfolios. The main portfolio, LD Discretionary, ended the year with a return of 10.1%.

    Equities, credit and bonds all contributed to making 2023 a good year for investment, with high returns for you as a member. All of the long-term members’ investment funds generated positive returns in 2023, and in the main fund, LD Discretionary, long-term members were credited with a return of 10.1%.

    LD Discretionary

    Around 90% of members’ assets are invested in the flagship product, LD Discretionary, which is an actively managed portfolio comprising both shares and bonds. In 2023, LD Discretionary generated a attributed return of 10.1%. This positive return was driven in particular by global equities, but all asset classes contributed positively to the year’s result. Foreign equities, senior loans and high-yield bonds delivered double-digit percentage returns. For the highest-rated bonds, the return for the year totalled just over 6%.

    LD Discretionary continues to meet expectations of stable and strong long-term returns.

    The portfolios

    In 2023, all investment funds delivered positive returns. LD Global Equities leads the way with a return of 17.1 per cent. IT and technology shares, in particular, have driven global equity markets. This positive trend follows a year of significant losses. Over a five-year period, the equity funds have delivered very high returns despite the significant losses in 2022.

    With a return of 8.5%, the LD Environment & Climate portfolio underperformed the LD Global Equities portfolio in 2023. This is partly due to headwinds facing companies producing renewable energy, and the fact that the portfolio has no exposure to the global technology companies that rose sharply in value.

    Towards the end of 2023, falling interest rates led to significant price gains in the bond markets, resulting in healthy returns in the bond portfolios. LD Short-Term Bonds ended the year with a return of 5.0%, whilst LD Mixed Bonds recorded a return of 5.3%. Very sharp rises in interest rates in 2021 and 2022 led to losses which the bond portfolios have not yet fully recouped, despite solid returns in 2023.

  • Financial developments in 2023

    Developments in the financial markets in 2023 were better than expected. The major geopolitical tensions did not have a significant impact on the markets, and, globally speaking, the markets showed growth over the course of the year.

    Concerns about persistently high inflation and a severe economic downturn gave way to growing optimism as the year progressed. Inflation returned almost to normal levels, the labour market remained exceptionally strong in the US, and there was solid growth in the global economy. Geopolitical tensions characterised 2023, with the war in Ukraine continuing and the conflict between Israelis and Palestinians reigniting fiercely, but these tensions had no significant impact on the financial markets.

    Interest rate trends were one of the biggest challenges facing the financial markets in 2023. In the third quarter, interest rate rises caused stock markets to fall quite sharply amid fears that private consumption and corporate earnings would be adversely affected. In the fourth quarter, these fears were replaced by positive expectations that interest rates would not rise any further – perhaps even the opposite – and that consumers and businesses would be able to cope with the current level of interest rates. We therefore saw a very positive trend in the equity markets towards the end of 2023. The trend in interest rates also benefited the bond markets, which have likewise delivered healthy returns.

  • High returns compared with similar investment funds

    LD Discretionary achieves good results with moderate risk. This is shown by analyses from the independent research firm Morningstar, which regularly assesses more than 1,000 investment funds in Europe.

    Morningstar analyses performance using a rating scale of between 1 and 5 stars. The rating covers investments in listed shares and bonds, which account for approximately 99% of LD Discretionary. As at 31 December 2023, LD Discretionary’s listed investments were awarded a full 5 stars. It is an impressive achievement to secure a top ranking in a comparison of nearly 1,000 European investment funds. This confirms that its returns have been among the top 10 per cent of investment funds with moderate risk in Europe. The rating varies from month to month, and here at the start of 2024, LD Discretionary continues to hold a 5-star rating. LD Discretionary’s listed investments have consistently ranked in the top third for the past 10 years.

    Bond portfolio at the very top

    The LD Short-Term Bonds portfolio performed well over the year, delivering a return of 5.0%. Morningstar has awarded the portfolio a top rating of 5 stars as at 31 December 2023.

    In recent years, bond funds have failed to live up to the general expectation that they would protect savings. However, even over a 10-year period, LD Short-Term Bonds retains its 5-star rating.

    Losses in share portfolios were recouped in 2023

    The high returns in 2023 follow a year – 2022 – of negative returns. Fortunately, the negative returns have been more than offset by the positive returns achieved in 2023. LD Danish Equities and LD Environment & Climate were both in the top third of Morningstar’s analysis (4 stars as at 31 December 2023). LD Global Equities was in the middle group.

Every day, we analyse developments in the financial markets and actively manage the portfolio to ensure the highest possible returns for our members.

The expected interest rate cuts and the prospect of a soft landing for the global economy suggest good return potential for both global equities and bonds in 2024. However, the markets remain challenging – and we are therefore ready to make adjustments in line with developments.

Kristoffer Fabricius Birch

Head of Investments in LD Pensions

Low costs

The costs of holding a savings account with us are very low. In fact, they are lower than with most other savings options. This applies to both LD Discretionary and the equity and bond funds.

In 2024, the cost of managing your savings in LD Discretionary will be 0.07%, and investment costs are expected to amount to 0.46%. The costs in the equity and bond funds are also low, particularly when compared with the investment funds offered through banks.

Low costs mean that your savings grow in value. This is because only a small portion of the return is deducted to cover the costs.
Find out more about our fees

Your very own savings account

Your accrued cost-of-living allowance funds will be paid out as a single lump sum when you request payouts. Almost all members have reached the age of 60 and can therefore choose for themselves when to use the money. Most leave it in the scheme for a number of years.

At the age of 70, you must actively opt out of payouts if you wish to prevent LD Pensions from paying the money out to you. The majority of 70-year-old members opt out of payouts.

Your savings can remain in the fund for as long as you wish – even after you become eligible for a payout. This can serve as a sort of financial reserve or buffer, which can grow whilst you wait until you need it.
Find out more about payouts

It is reassuring to have a financial buffer in one’s personal finances. The accrued cost-of-living allowance funds are such a buffer, and the fact that their value increases over time thanks to the returns only makes them better.

Virtually all members have the option of withdrawing their accrued cost-of-living allowance funds. However, the vast majority of members choose to keep their funds with us, even though they have been eligible for withdrawal for several years.

Else Nyvang

Managing Director of LD Pensions

A soft landing for the economy in 2024?

Following a couple of years of high inflation and interest rate rises, the financial markets are expected to be characterised by monetary policy easing in 2024 due to the prospect of lower inflation. Here at the start of 2024, several factors point to a soft landing for the economy in 2024 and therefore, overall, the basis for positive but slightly lower returns than the strong performance seen in 2023.

The monetary policy tightening implemented in 2023 is having a delayed impact on the economy and is expected to continue to dampen growth to some extent in 2024. Conversely, consumers can look forward to an increase in real wages as a result of significant pay rises and the prospect of low inflation. Consumption is supported by the fact that the labour market remains strong in both Europe and the US, and there are prospects for increased investment, driven in part by companies’ increased focus on securing their own supply chains, as well as government support packages, particularly for the green transition.

However, significant risks could have a negative impact on the financial markets in 2024. The war in Ukraine continues, the conflict in Gaza has flared up again, and attacks on merchant ships in the Red Sea are threatening key trade routes. China faces challenges from a debt-ridden property sector and changing global trade patterns, and there are tensions between China and Taiwan. There are also risks related to inflation trends. Persistently high core inflation may mean that central banks have to disappoint market expectations of interest rate cuts. This could contribute to lower economic growth and lead to capital losses across asset classes.

2024 could therefore be another year of significant volatility in the financial markets.

The above assessment of the economic outlook for 2024 is based on financial market indicators from January 2024. LD Pensions monitors developments and revises its forecasts when warranted. Keep up to date with our market commentary under ‘News’ at ld.dk.

Our self-service solution at ld.dk is used extensively. In fact, we have as many as 10,000 logins per week.

On the self-service portal, you can, for example, perform portfolio selection if you wish to put together your own investment profile, and you can both defer and request payouts.

This is also where you can view your own personal figures at any time.

Trine Bøje Forsby

Senior Communications Consultant in LD Pensions

I’ve got a brilliant plan for my LD Savings: I’m going to leave them to grow until I’m very old.

Elze Mariana Chernet Borgholm

Lives in Frederiksberg

Nyheder

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